Tata Motors Share Price Target: Unveiling the Demerger of CV and PV Businesses

  • Nomura India suggests an unchanged target price of Rs 1,057 on Tata Motors.
  • Demerger into commercial vehicle (CV) and passenger vehicle (PV) businesses foreseen for greater strategic freedom.
  • Medium-term potential for both CVs and PVs to pursue independent strategies.
  • Nomura sees Tata Motors PV business as a key value creator with a focus on safety, design, and feature-rich vehicles.
  • Aiming to become India’s second-largest PV player by FY25-26.
  • Tata Motors leads EV penetration with 70%+ market share, plans for 10 EV models by FY26, and aspires to achieve 50% EV volumes by 2030.
  • Despite negative EV margins in Q3, Nomura expects improvements over time, contributing to substantial value creation.
  • Tata Motors’ PV business Ebitda margins at 6.5%, with ICE margins already improved to 9.4% in Q3FY24.
  • Potential upside in CV business re-rating and success in e-Buses and e-LCVs.
  • Demerger through the NCLT scheme with identical shareholding for existing Tata Motors shareholders.
  • Expected timeline for completion is 12-15 months, subject to necessary approvals.

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